Factors Affecting ElF(electrical load forecasting)

Several factors affect ELF. Among them we mention:

1. Land use: (residential, industrial, commercial, agriculture . . . etc.). Different types of use affect the capacity of the substation, i.e. residential loads is different from industrial loads.

2. Population growth: As the population increases more loads are needed.

3. Historical Data: Historical data plays an important role in forecasting since they can tell how the load will behave in the future.

4. Load Densities (KVA/Km²): Load density must be put into account during load forecasting, we must consider the range of enmities as it differs for different types of loads. Common figures for load densities are 1000 KVA/Km² for agricultural areas; 3000 KVA/Km² for residential areas; 5000 KVA/Km² for city center and 10,000 KVA/Km² for industrial areas.